Airline Command Discussion group

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Tuesday, 20 May 2008

Judgement & Decision Making (Part 7 - Risk)

This is the seventh of a series of articles which will look at Command Judgement and Decision Making. (Part 6 - Define The Problem) is under construction.

Each part needs to be read in the sequential order presented, as this is the way I believe you mentally go about using your judgement to make a decision. There is no point in reading Part 7 before Part 6.


Risk

Risk is a big subject.

A big, complicated subject that, whether you like it or not, YOU as the Captain have to have a “firm, slippery grip” on. One of your prime jobs as the Captain is to be a Risk Assessor and a Risk Manager and you have to be adept at Balancing The Risk.

(Click over there).

Risk Management is an essential step in the Judgement and Decision Making model being explained here. Risk and your perception of it is a major factor in applying your Judgement to reach a sound and safe decision.

To make this big dry and, at times tedious, subject a little more palatable I’ll break it down into smaller risk components. Just follow the links below to get to the indicated subjects.

Ensure you read Risk Definitions first as all the other articles will use these basic definitions.

It is probably best if you read all of the subjects and not just the ones that interest you, as the separate individual risk subjects are part of a whole – like a jigsaw puzzle. The whole is definitely more than the sum of the individual components.
  1. Risk Definitions

  2. The Nature Of Risk

  3. The Four Essential "Rules Of Risk"

  4. Balancing The Risk

Part 8 is under construction.

This is only MY attempt at analysing Judgement and Decision Making – I’m just a professional aviator, not a psychologist so my thoughts may not conform with academia, but it is based on a real pilot’s perspective. What would you rather have; a psychologist explaining aviation or an aviator explaining psychology?

I welcome any feedback about this article. Please add YOUR pilot input (or if any psychologists read this, your thoughts) by using the COMMENTS link below.

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